East Africa Food Security Outlook January to June 2013
Measured improvements may be sustained from January through June in some areas
• Significant improvements in current food security outcomes have occurred, even as 12.9 million people remain in the Stressed (IPC Phase 2), Crisis (IPC Phase 3), and Emergency (IPC Phase 4) levels of acute food insecurity.
• The region’s worst food security outcomes are found in the areas expected to be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) either now or by June including southern Tigray, eastern Oromia, eastern Amhara, parts of Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples’ Region (SNNPR), southern and northern Somali Region, and northern Afar in Ethiopia, parts of South Kordofan and Darfur in Sudan, parts of the Guban pastoral and Coastal Deeh pastoral livelihood zones in Somalia conflict-affected areas in Jonglei, Northern Bahr El Ghazal, Warrap, and Unity States in South Sudan, and northwestern Djibouti.
• Favorable March to May rains would consolidate recovery in key areas of concern, which are dependent on the rains including most of Somalia, Kenya, and southern and eastern Ethiopia, but rains that performed less well would likely increase food insecurity in these areas.