Stressed food insecurity outcomes expected to continue through September
The volume of cross-border trade flows and transactions are below-average across most of the country. Rice and cash crop production for the 2015/16 season was lower than the 2014/15 season, and prices are currently above average. Poor households are facing diminished purchasing power and many are incapable of meeting their livelihood protection needs.
Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food insecurity or higher is expected for at least 20 percent of rural district populations.
A normal start to the next cropping season is expected and international forecasts indicate that there are high chances of average to below-average rainfall. Households are currently engaged in land preparation activities for rice and off-season crops. Employment opportunities for weeding and harvesting of minor crops is expected to improve household income and food access during the lean season.
Most poor households are still likely to remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2) until the start of the harvest in September. Acute food insecurity among a small portion of these households could deteriorate into Crisis (IPC Phase 3), as they start to face slight food gaps due to higher food prices once the lean season starts in May. Labor availability in the form of weeding and other activities is expected to be normal or above normal for the remainder of the year due to the end of several bans around public gathering. This should increase household and improve food access for poor households.