An FAO Crop Assessment Mission visited
the South West, Southern and part of Eastern regions in December 1999.
The other northern or eastern regions were not accessible due to security
constraints. The Mission found that the agricultural sector has been extensively
disrupted by civil disturbances throughout the country, even including
the Southern region where relative peace now prevails. Over the years,
farmers have lost all their productive resources including seeds, implements
and other capital assets. There has been large- scale destruction of infrastructure
and rural institutions. As most rural farm families were displaced, availability
of labour for planting and harvesting is a major constraint. Also, farmers'
capacity to retain stocks is low due to financial constraints and the fear
of looting by rebels. Practically all the farmers are dependent on Government
and NGOs for the supply of seeds, and thus planted areas are highly determined
by the capacity of these agencies to assist them. Due to shortages of seeds
and other inputs, average rice area per farm has declined from about 0.80
hectare normally to about 0.60 hectare in the current year. Thus, the shortage
of tools, fertilizers and labour adversely affected food production in
1999.
The Mission estimated rice area in 1999
at about 225 000 hectares, about 21 percent below the 1998 estimate of
285 000 hectares. Despite very good rainfall, delayed transplanting and
shortages of inputs resulted in a decline in yields of about 4 percent
from the previous year. Thus, production of paddy is estimated as 248 220
tonnes for 1999, about 24.4 percent below the 1998 estimate of 328 310
tonnes. 1999 paddy production is around 45 percent of the pre-war (1990)
production and just about 60 percent of 1997 production when the security
situation improved in many parts of the country. In the South-West region,
where the security situation has improved, production has increased slightly
over the previous year. However, in the North, North-West and part of Eastern
region, where insecurity was high and remained inaccessible to most of
the relief agencies, both area and yield decreased from the previous year.
Total cereal supply in 2000, including rice in milled form, is estimated at 181 000 tonnes against a utilization requirement of 510 000 tonnes, resulting in an import requirement of 329 000 tonnes for 2000. This compares with 1999 estimated imports of 290 000 tonnes, an increase of 13 percent. Over the war years, there has been a steady substitution of roots and tubers for cereals, and this largely explains the estimated small increase in cereal imports between the two years.