Philippines: La Niña Watch Infographic (as of 29 July 2016)


The Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) reported that El Niño ended in June. Tropical Pacific surface temperatures have returned to neutral condition. Meanwhile a weak La Niña is favoured to develop (55-60% chance) towards the end of 2016 (Sep-Oct-Nov). The monthly forecast for August indicates that most of the country will have near normal rainfall while September to December will have above normal rainfall. Prolonged wet conditions may cause flooding and rain-induced landslides.

Potential Impacts of La Niña

  • Loss of agricultural and fishing livelihoods due to flooding

  • Displacement from homes due to flooding and landslides

  • Prevalence of water-borne disease

  • Isolation of communities due to damaged infrastructure


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