The Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) reported that El Niño ended in June. Tropical Pacific surface temperatures have returned to neutral condition. Meanwhile a weak La Niña is favoured to develop (55-60% chance) towards the end of 2016 (Sep-Oct-Nov). The monthly forecast for August indicates that most of the country will have near normal rainfall while September to December will have above normal rainfall. Prolonged wet conditions may cause flooding and rain-induced landslides.
Potential Impacts of La Niña
Loss of agricultural and fishing livelihoods due to flooding
Displacement from homes due to flooding and landslides
Prevalence of water-borne disease
Isolation of communities due to damaged infrastructure
- UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
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