Attachments
I. Situation Overview
Issued on 25 July 2024 at 11:00 PM, “Carina” continues to weaken and is now over Southeastern China.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
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Typhoon “Carina” is now less likely to directly bring heavy rainfall over any portion of the country.
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However, the Southwest Monsoon enhanced by “Carina” will bring moderate to heavy rainfall over various localities in the western portion of Luzon from tonight through Saturday (July 27).
Severe Winds
The Southwest Monsoon enhanced by “Carina” will also bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
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Tonight until tomorrow (26 July): Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, the eastern portion of Isabela, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Negros Occidental, and Northern Samar
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Saturday (27 July): Batanes, Ilocos Region, Zambales, Bataan, Marinduque, Romblon, and Kalayaan Islands.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
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Gale Warning is in effect over the coastal waters of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and northwestern Cagayan. Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas.
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In the next 24 hours, “Carina” and the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring rough seas over the western seaboard of Central Luzon (2.5 to 4.0 m). Moderate to rough seas are also expected over the northern and western seaboards of Northern Luzon outside Gale Warning areas, the western seaboard of Southern Luzon (1.5 to 4.0 m), and the eastern seaboard of Northern Luzon (1.5 to 3.5 m). Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced or operating ill-equipped vessels.
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Up to moderate seas are also expected over the eastern seaboards of Central and Southern Luzon, the southern seaboard of Southern Luzon (1.0 to 2.5 m), the western and eastern seaboards of Visayas, and the eastern seaboard of Mindanao (1.0 to 2.0 m). Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
Outside PAR region, “Carina” will continue to move west northwestward over Southeastern China. It will continue to weaken as it further interacts with the landmass.
The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data 630 km North Northwest of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) (25.8 °N, 119.0 °E) moving West Southwestward 10 km/h with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 180 km/h.
Source: DOST-PAGASA Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #25F
II. Status of Affected Areas and Population
A total of 463,698 families or 1,545,711 persons are affected in 1,946 barangays in Regions NCR, I, II, III, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, V, VI, VII, X, and CAR (see Annex A).