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During the last week moderate to heavy rainfall was recorded across most of the country. Kashmir and adjoining areas of Punjab and KP received maximum amounts of rainfall. However, western Balochistan and interior Sindh remained dry. The spatial distribution of rainfall is shown in Fig 5. The Fig 6 shows the departure of the rainfall from the normal (1991-2020). Punjab, Kashmir, NW Balochistan and most of the KP received well above normal rainfall, meanwhile, Sindh, Gilgit Baltistan and most of the Balochistan experienced below normal rainfall. Mean temperature remained above normal across most part of the country except a few stations Lahore, Jhelum, DI Khan and Paddidan which received below normal temperature.
During the aforesaid week, the spatial distribution of mean temperature is shown in Fig 7 and departure of mean temperature from normal (1991-2020) in Fig 8. Mean temperatures remained above normal across the country ranging from 1°C to 6°C. Whereas, few station such as Lahore, Jhelum, DI Khan and Paddidan recorded 1°C to 2°C below normal temperatures. Surface soil moisture for period 25 June to 01 July 2024 is shown in Fig 11. Northern and central parts of country surface soil moisture conditions are dryer than the central and southern parts.
The spatial distribution of normal rainfall is shown in Fig 9. Normal rainfall is 0 to 20 millimeter (mm) in most part of the country and 20.1 to 60 mm mostly in Kashmir and its adjoining areas such as Murree and Abbottabad. While normal mean temperature during the period is shown in the Fig 10. It ranges from 20°C to 37°C.
Fig 11 shows surface soil moisture for period 25 June to 01 July 2024. This product is based on NASA terrestrial water storage observations derived from GRACE-FO satellite data and integrated with other observations, using a sophisticated numerical model of land surface water and energy processes. The drought indicators describe current wet or dry conditions, expressed as a percentile showing the probability of occurrence for that particular location and time of year, with lower values (warm colors) meaning dryer than normal, and higher values (blues) meaning wetter than normal.
Duration of Forecast: 9th to 15th July, 2024
From 9 th to 15th July, 2024, Pakistan will receive rainfall across most of the country. As per the forecast, temperatures in the above mentioned areas are expected to drop. Consequently, the flash drought conditions in southern and south-western areas are likely to dissipate.
For more details on forecast, visit PMD official website: https://nwfc.pmd.gov.pk/new/press-releases.php
For drought update, visit NDMC official website: https://ndmc.pmd.gov.pk/new/