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During the week (22nd to 30th June, 2024), rainfall was recorded at isolated places (Malam Jabba, Saidu Shareef, Mirpur Khas, Mithi, Thatta, Chhor, Lahore, Zhob, Lesbella and few areas in Pothohar and Kashmir) in the country. The spatial distribution of rainfall is shown in Fig 5. The Fig 6 shows the departure of the rainfall from the normal (1991-2020). Most of the areas received above normal rainfall except Kashmir, central and northern Punjab, and the coastal areas of Baluchistan where rainfall remained below normal. Mean temperature remained above normal across most of the country except a few stations Bahawalnagar, Multan, Sibbi, Paddidan, Jiwani, Dir, Chitral, Gupis and Skardu.
During the aforesaid week, the spatial distribution of mean temperature is shown in Fig 7 and departure of mean temperature from normal (1991-2020) in Fig 8. Mean temperatures remained above normal across the country ranging from 1°C to 6°C. Whereas, few station such as Bahawalnagar, Multan, Sibbi, Paddidan, Jiwani, Dir, Chitral, Gupis and Skardu recorded 1°C to 2°C below normal temperatures. Surface soil moisture for period 18 to 24 June 2024 is shown in Fig 11. Northern parts of country surface soil moisture conditions are dryer than the central and southern parts.
The spatial distribution of normal rainfall is shown in Fig 9. Normal rainfall is 0 to 26 millimeter (mm) in most part of the country and 26.1 to 66 mm mostly in Kashmir and its adjoining areas such as Murree and Abotabad. While normal mean temperature during the period is shown in the Fig 10. It ranges from 18°C to 40°C.
Fig 11 shows surface soil moisture for period 18 to 24 June 2024. This product is based on NASA terrestrial water storage observations derived from GRACE-FO satellite data and integrated with other observations, using a sophisticated numerical model of land surface water and energy processes. The drought indicators describe current wet or dry conditions, expressed as a percentile showing the probability of occurrence for that particular location and time of year, with lower values (warm colors) meaning dryer than normal, and higher values (blues) meaning wetter than normal.
Duration of Forecast: 1st July to 7th July, 2024
From 1st to 7th July, 2024, Pakistan will receive rainfall across most of the country except central and southern Baluchistan. As per the forecast, temperatures in the above mentioned areas are expected to drop. Consequently, the flash drought conditions in southern and south-western areas are likely to dissipate.
For more details on forecast, visit PMD official website: https://nwfc.pmd.gov.pk/new/press-releases.php
For drought update, visit NDMC official website: https://ndmc.pmd.gov.pk/new/