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Israel’s Regional Posture: Strategic Calculus, Conflict Dynamics, and Humanitarian Implications

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As of mid, 2025, Israel’s regional posture is defined by a complex matrix of military assertiveness, diplomatic defiance, and humanitarian fallout. This report, grounded in SARI Global’s proprietary IVI and STAKE frameworks, offers a granular analysis of Israel’s strategic behavior across six key theaters: Iran, Lebanon, Syria, the West Bank, Gaza, and Yemen.

The report identifies a shift in Israeli doctrine, from reactive containment to proactive shaping of regional dynamics. Whether through preemptive strikes, demographic engineering, or forward military entrenchment, Israel is recalibrating its deterrence architecture in response to perceived threats from Iran and its proxy network. However, this posture is generating significant humanitarian consequences, particularly in Gaza, southern Lebanon, and parts of Syria.