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Synopsis (short abstract)
This brief presents findings from a Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) simulation assessing daily food requirements and availability in the Gaza Strip under ongoing constraints on humanitarian food access. As of May 2025, the average caloric intake has dropped to 1 400 kcal per person per day, just 67 percent of the minimum required 2 100 kcal, indicating a severe and growing food gap. The simulation models three food basket scenarios based on the NutVal approach, reflecting typical aid contents such as wheat flour, pulses, rice, dairy products, and vegetable oil. The analysis accounts for demographic variations, nutritional benchmarks, and local production capacity. Findings align with IPC Phase 4, emergency conditions, with a risk of further deterioration into IPC Phase 5, catastrophe. The results provide an evidence base for humanitarian response planning and legal analysis concerning the right to adequate food and the protection of civilians. The brief highlights the urgent need to restore humanitarian food access and scale up assistance to prevent further deterioration in food security and nutritional status across the Gaza Strip.