Key highlights
- Data collection for the seventh round of DIEM-Monitoring took place at the onset of the harvest season between 6 and 23 September 2024. Rising food prices remained a challenge for respondent households (84 percent). The macroeconomic crisis has caused inflation to hit a nearly 30-year high and continued devaluation of the Nigerian naira.
Vulnerable households facing multiple shocks, including internally displaced persons (IDPs), have been particularly affected. - The escalation of conflict in the North West has been ongoing since the sixth round conducted at the beginning of 2024. In the Northeast, after being present for many years, conflict has become endemic, meaning less households reported conflict as a shock in this area. Income has decreased when compared to the year preceding the survey for 39 percent of respondent households. The reduction in income was associated with a reduction in both the area planted and the harvest, and with the presence of conflict.
- Access to fertilizer has become increasingly difficult due to record high inflation.
- Both harvest and area planted have reduced compared to the year preceding the survey. Farmers that experience conflict are more likely to leave some of their land uncultivated or unharvested. Households that experienced conflict are associated with limited access to inputs, such as seed and fertilizer, to cultivate their land.
- Conflict is affecting other aspects of production such as sales. In areas where conflict was present, households experienced more sales difficulties. Conflict was also associated with livestock production difficulties, such as theft.
- The presence of conflict, and the reduction in income are associated with the adoption of crisis coping strategies. Households had to rely on negative coping strategies to meet their minimum food needs.
- Continuous monitoring of shocks on agricultural livelihoods and food security is recommended, together with an estimate of the number of food-insecure People in Need (PiN) and the number of Agricultural People in Need of Emergency Agriculture Interventions (Ag PiN).
- Facilitate the demand-supply link for agricultural inputs, especially fertilizer. Provide livelihood assistance for farmers engaged in dry season.
- Lead a coordinated emergency response in the Northeast. Target PiN and Ag PiN, at ward level (administrative level 3) across all affected states to ensure equitable targeting of beneficiaries.