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This report, which presents the results from Round 49 of Displacement Tracking Matrix (DTM) assessments covers the period between October and November 2024 and reflects the trends from the six states in Nigeria’s northeast geopolitical zone. This zone is the most affected by the conflict and consists of the following states: Adamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Taraba and Yobe.
In Round 49, 2,252,348 IDPs were identified in 465,935 households. This signified a decrease of 0.1 per cent (or 3,247 individuals) compared to Round 48, when 2,255,595 IDPs were recorded (September 2024). In the past 12 months, the number of IDPs in north-east Nigeria has decreased by less than one per cent (or 3,247 individuals).
However, since the increase in hostilities around October 2018 (Round 25), the LGAs Kukawa, Kala/Balge and Guzamala in Borno State have been largely inaccessible to humanitarian actors. Given that the number of IDPs has increased since Round 25 despite low levels of accessibility, the actual displacement figures are likely considerably higher.
During Round 49, IDP assessments were conducted in 2,254 locations across the six states of north-east Nigeria. The assessed locations included 259 camps and camp-like settlements and 1,995 locations where internally displaced persons lived among host communities. The purpose was to understand better the dynamics and displacement trends in the conflict-affected region.
Furthermore, 2,129,325 returnees were recorded in the Round 49 assessment. This number represents an increase of 18,848 individuals or more than one per cent compared to Round 48, when 2,110,477 returnees were recorded in (September 2024). When comparing the number of return individuals between Round 49 and Round 48, the number of returnees in north-east Nigeria increased by 1 per cent or 18,848 individuals. While IDP numbers slightly decreased during the past year, it can be concluded that there is a clear trend toward a return to locations of origin in the BAY states (Borno, Adamawa and Yobe states