Seasonal rainfall and subsequent high-water levels in Niger and Benue rivers have been causing flooding across Nigeria since June 2019. Floods have worsened after a peak in water levels in late September (Floodlist 07/10/2019). According to the latest situation report from 7 October, the floods severely affected 32 of the 36 states and Federal Capital Territory, killing several people, displacing thousands, and causing crop damage to varying degrees across the country (IFRC EPoA 07/10/2019).
Anticipated scope and scale
The flooding is estimated to have affected over 210,000 people, with about 130,000 of them being displaced (IFRC EPoA 07/10/2019). Rainfall is predicted to continue in central Nigeria in the week of 17-23 October (NOAA). Flooding has destroyed or flooded IDP camps across north-eastern states, especially in Borno. People in camps in Borno face increased health risks and lack access to WASH facilities.
Humanitarian constraints
Humanitarian access to Borno state is severely limited due to security concerns and poor road infrastructure. Monitoring the security situation in Kogi and Delta states is recommended due to the ongoing Middle Belt conflict. Destroyed bridges and flooded roads can further constrain access but data on infrastructure damage across states is lacking.