In December 2025 and January 2026, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are estimated in the Tillabéry, Diffa, and Tahoua regions due to continuous conflicts. There are pockets of households in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) among displaced populations and those affected by flooding. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity affects the majority of areas and populations in the Tillabéry and Diffa regions, but only two out of 12 departments in the Tahoua region.
From February to May 2026, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity outcomes will persistin these regions, with population groups still in Emergency (IPC Phase 4). However, while areas affected by food insecurity will remain the same as those observed in December 2025 and January 2026, there will be an increase in the proportions of affected populations from February to May 2026.
Areas of concern are those affected by the cumulative effects of insecurity, flooding, and dry spells, the impacts of which include decreases in agricultural production. Poor, displaced households account for more than half of households in the highest food insecurity phases. Poor households affected by flooding and those who have been affected by long dry spells occurring during critical periods of crop phenological stages are also among the households with high acute food insecurity. Their meals are limited to one or two per day.
The availability of consumer products is low among households that experienced their own production deficits, but the level of food supply is average in markets. Food prices continue their downward trend compared to last year's levels and the five-year average. Livestock markets show improvements in supply and prices, yet still higher than last year and the five-year average.