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SADC Tropical Cyclone Chido Advisory Issue 03 10 Dec 2024

Attachments

SADC-CLIMATE SERVICES CENTRE TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

ISSUE NUMBER: 03 RELEASE DATE: 10/12/2024 VALIDITY: 15/11/2024

RAINFALL SEASON: 2024/25

Headline: Tropical Cyclone CHIDO has evolved from a tropical depression to a tropical cyclone and is projected to make landfall over northern Madagascar and Comoros and further cross into the Mozambique Channel where it will resuscitate back into a tropical cyclone due to the warm ocean waters and further make landfall over north coastal areas of Mozambique.

SUMMARY

Analysis of model outputs from the following sources: European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF), Joint Typhoon Warning Centre (JTWC), Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) La Reunion, and the SADC CSC WRF-GFS show that Tropical System 04 of 2024/25 has evolved to Tropical Cyclone CHIDO and has recorded maximum sustained surface 92 km/h (50 knots) and minimum sea-level pressure is estimated to be near 994 mb. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is high. The tropical system is currently expected to directly affect Madagascar, Comoros and later Mozambique and South Africa.