Mozambique - System 12-20242025 - Flash Update No. 1, As of 07 March 2025

• New weather system forecasted to impact Mozambique as a Severe Tropical Cyclone.
• The impact is expected in Nampula province on 9 March with the intensity of a severe tropical storm, further evolving into a tropical cyclone.
• The Anticipatory Action (AA) Framework for Cyclones has been activated and resources have been availed by the Central Emergency Response Fund to humanitarian partners for anticipatory action activities ahead of the impact.
• Nampula province was impacted by Tropical Cyclone Chido (December 2024) and Dikeledi (January 2025) affecting 455,000 people.

SITUATION OVERVIEW

A new weather system forecasted to evolve into a Severe Tropical Cyclone and impact Mozambique. A new lowpressure system (temporarily named 12-20242025) recently formed in the Indian Ocean and it is currently heading east towards Madagascar. It is expected to land on the east coast of Madagascar as a moderate tropical storm in the evening of 07 March. After crossing Madagascar, it should re-emerge in the Mozambique Channel on 08 March and continue westwards, evolving into a tropical cyclone. The system is expected to cross over the northern coast of Mozambique on 9 March. The provinces of Nampula, Zambezia and Cabo Delgado are forecasted to be impacted by heavy rains and strong winds. In the 2024/2025 rainy and cyclonic season, Nampula Province has been hit by Tropical Cyclone Chido (December 2024) and Tropical Cyclone Dikeledi (January 2025). A total of 455,000 people had been affected b the two cyclones. There is a cholera outbreak in Nampula and Zambezia with 915 cases and 29 deaths reported, as of 7 March.