Attachments
Key Messages
- Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes persist across conflict-affected districts of Cabo Delgado and Nampula through May 2026. Ongoing violence by non-state armed groups (NSAGs), particularly in Memba District, displaced approximately 108,000 people between November 10-17, with many fleeing to Eráti District. Displaced households are facing inadequate shelter and sanitation, limited access to safe water, and inadequate healthcare. Some households have begun returning home with government support, but assistance remains limited. As of December 11, at least 12,580 individuals had returned to their villages and received only a five-day food ration.
- In southern and central semi-arid areas, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to continue through March 2026, with some improvement anticipated in April and May as the main harvest begins. Food insecurity is expected to worsen with the lean season through March as household stocks diminish and purchasing power declines. While the 2025/26 rainy season began on time in most areas, southern regions experienced delays of up to 20 days, expected to slightly delay the upcoming harvests. Rainfall was above average in much of the central and northern regions from October to mid-December, but below average in the south.
- As of November, the Mozambique Food Security Cluster (FSC) partners reported that food assistance has reached 361,200 people**, covering nearly 15 percent of the target population.** Over the next six months, 115 million USD is needed to implement planned activities. Without additional funding, the number of beneficiaries in Cabo Delgado may drop from 420,000 to 265,000 by March 2026. With the available Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF) resources and Joint Response Plan (JRP), WFP aims to assist 93,500 individuals in Nampula.
- Maize grain prices increased by 6-14 percent from October to November 2025, following seasonal trends. In comparison to the five-year average, maize prices in November were 57 percent higher in the southern region, reducing the purchasing power of poor households. Prices remained stable in the central region and were 34 percent lower in the northern region. When compared to last year, maize prices were relatively stable in the south but were 30 to 35 percent lower in the central and northern regions.
This report provides an update to the October 2025 to May 2026 Food Security Outlook and November 2025 Key Message Update. The analysis is based on information available as of December 31, 2025.