Mexico

Hurricane Emily Advisory Number 44

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY ADVISORY NUMBER 44
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU JUL 21 2005

...EMILY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN INLAND OVER NORTHERN MEXICO... ...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING STILL EXISTS...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SALTILLO MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH ... 4 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND EMILY SHOULD GRADUALLY DISSIPATE LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

ALTHOUGH EMILY IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...THE REMNANT CIRCULATION WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER NORTHERN MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...25.0 N...101.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER STEWART