Dolly approaching the coast of Mexico

Report
from National Hurricane Center
Published on 23 Aug 1996
ZCZC MIATCPAT4
TTAA00 KNHC 230830
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI AUG 23 1996

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO LA PESCA.

RESIDENTS IN THE WARNING AREA SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETE PREPARATIONS FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST OR ABOUT 100 MILES...155 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE TO THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA... LIKELY IN THE VICINITY OF TAMPICO...NEAR NOON LOCAL TIME.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH WERE REPORTED AT TAMPICO AN HOUR AGO. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS LIKELY NEAR AND NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE CROSSES THE COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE EXPECTED NEAR AND ALONG THE PATH OF DOLLY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...21.6 N... 96.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.

RAPPAPORT

STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.

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