Attachments
KEY MESSAGES
-
With nationwide cereal production expected to surpass the five-year average by 25 percent, and adequate domestic and cross-border trade flows, food availability should be average to above-average through the end of June.
-
Good pastoral conditions, higher levels of seasonal income, food resources earned from farming activities, and favorable terms of trade will keep most poor households in IPC Phase 1: Minimal food insecurity between January and March.
-
Poor agro-dominant agropastoral households in northwestern agropastoral areas and southeastern rainfed agriculture zones will move into IPC Phase 2: Stress between March/April and June, along with northern households impacted by the protracted drought in that area since last year.
-
The resumption of fighting in northern Mali has triggered a new wave of refugees and has, to some extent, slowed trade in affected border areas. Monitoring market and cross-border trade disruptions will be important in determining the impact of security threats on pastoral systems, particularly in southeastern rainfed farming areas.