Attachments
Key Messages
- Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are ongoing in the Liptako Gourma region and the northern part of the country and will continue until May 2025 due to the high prices of staple goods and the insecurity-driven degradation of livelihoods. In the Ménaka region, supply chain disruptions, high prices (up to 93 percent above average), a heavily disrupted economic environment, and low availability of agricultural production are maintaining Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes, which will deteriorate to Emergency (IPC Phase 4) starting in April. A small proportion of the population in inaccessible areas will face Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5). Flood victims settled in host households or makeshift shelters (estimated at over 350,000 people) and internally displaced persons (IDPs; around 378,363 people) will face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes at worst.
- Countrywide, average harvests are underway and will likely provide sufficient food during the 2024/25 food year, with most households in agricultural areas of the south able to access food without major difficulties, resulting in Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes. However, reduced production due to flooding and insecurity-related field abandonment will lead to early stock depletion in the affected areas and an atypical decrease in cereal availability on the markets after the post-harvest period, which will maintain pressure on the markets.
- The persistence of security incidents continues to disrupt economic activities in the center and north of the country due to armed group attacks, the planting of explosive devices, the degradation of property, and the destruction of crops. The severe deterioration of livelihoods due to massive disruptions in economic activities continues to limit households' ability to meet their food and non-food needs, particularly in the Ménaka region, where inaccessible areas are reported. Insecurity-related displacements continue, with an increase of 14.4 percent compared to May 2024. According to UNHCR, around 378,363 IDPs were registered by the end of September 2024.
- Households' access to food and income has improved seasonally with the availability of own harvests (though limited in some areas), the seasonal decrease in cereal prices, and in-kind payments for harvesting labor. In conflict-affected areas in the center and north, access to food remains below normal due to significantly above-average price increases. Despite above-average livestock prices, the livestock-to-cereals terms of trade have worsened, reducing purchasing power and market access for pastoral households.
- Pasture availability and overall livestock conditions are average to good in Mali, favorable for average livestock production (such as milk, cheese, and butter) and a likely normal pastoral lean season for cattle starting in April. However, the pastoral lean season will begin early in some areas in the north, where access to pastoral resources remains limited due to insecurity-related disruptions to animal movement; this will lead to rapid deterioration in livestock conditions due to atypical concentrations of livestock in host areas. The epizootic situation is relatively calm and the livestock vaccination campaign against major diseases continues across Mali with support from partners such as FAO and ICRC. However, this campaign remains disrupted in the insecure areas of central and northern parts of the country.