Tropical Cyclone AVA continued moving toward the eastern coast of Madagascar. On 5 January at 00:00 UTC, its centre was located approximately 155 km north-east of Toamasina city with maximum sustained winds of 139 km/h.
Over the next 12 hours, it is forecast to continue moving southwest toward eastern coast of Madagascar, slightly strengthening. It could to reach the coast south of Toamasina city on 5 January in the afternoon/evening (UTC) with maximum sustained winds of 155-165 km/h. AVA is then forecast to continue moving south along the eastern coast of the country.
Over the next 48 hours, heavy rain, strong winds and storm surge could affect northern and eastern regions.
Red alerts (Meteo Madagascar) are in effect for Analanjirofo, Atsinanana and Alaotra Mangoro regions.