- Food and cash crop production is expected to be below average this season throughout the Great South, the Great Southeast, and in parts of northern and eastern Madagascar due to weather shocks, such as erratic rainfall in the south, the passage of cyclones in the north and east, and higher instances of pests.
- As stocks deplete, households will become progressively reliant on markets to meet their food needs, albeit amid higher-than-normal prices and below-average incomes.
- Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected to prevail across the Great South and Great Southeast in the next months, with Crisis (IPC Phase 3) likely to emerge by October in parts of the Great South where lower levels of humanitarian food assistance are expected.
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