Attachments
Overview
The SARI Global report analyses the escalating conflict in southern Lebanon, focusing on patterns derived from data on evacuation orders and Israeli Armed Forces (IAF) attacks. The findings reveal a gradual expansion of conflict zones from early October to mid-November 2024, with evacuation orders broadening from localised areas near the southern border to encompass wider regions, including Tyre, Nabatieh, Marjayoun, and Jezzine. This shift marks a significant transition from targeted threats to a more extensive impact zone.
The report delves into the escalation patterns, trends in IAF attacks, and the validity of evacuation orders covering large territories, with a detailed snapshot of the Tyre Subdistrict. Notably, the analysis highlights a substantial number of IAF airstrikes, over two thousand, across the South and Nabatieh Governorates between 1 October and 12 November 2024. These attacks also underscore a troubling increase in strikes on health workers and Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) personnel, raising critical concerns about the conflict's broader humanitarian and security implications.