Attachments
Executive Summary
June 2025 witnessed a pronounced intensification of Israeli military activity in Lebanon, characterized by an escalating use of airstrikes, drone warfare, and strategic signaling. This operational posture culminated in the June 27 seismic missile engagements targeting Nabatieh and Kfartibnit. These operations unfolded amidst concurrent regional developments, reflecting a broader Israeli strategic imperative to reassert deterrence across multiple operational fronts.
The observed operational trendline signifies a deliberate shift toward systemic pressure, encompassing the targeting of Hezbollah’s command and logistical infrastructure, the imposition of psychological pressure on the civilian populace, the disruption of financial lifelines, and the apparent generation of political instability within Lebanon. While the campaign has remained below the threshold of full-scale conflict, it demonstrates a calibrated multi-front strategy aimed at degrading Hezbollah’s capabilities without triggering a symmetrical retaliatory escalation. However, the month concluded with heightened international concern, mounting civilian impact, and discernible domestic Lebanese dissent, suggesting that this precarious balance may be approaching a critical inflection point.