Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification
Drought Phase: ALARM-WORSENING
Biophysical Indicators
Biophysical indicators are showing negative
trends away from expected seasonal ranges.
Below average amount of rainfall were received
in the month of September 2021.
The September Vegetation Condition Index
values for Tana North-Bura,Galole and Tana
river sub-county are below normal and indicating
moderate drought for the county with slight
improvement.
The Water levels in most water pans were below
normal at 2-3(10%-30%) in Pastoral and
Marginal mixed livelihood zones.
Socio Economic Indicators (Impact Indicators)
Production indicators:
The forage condition is very poor and depleted in
pastoral and marginal mixed but fair in mixed
farming livelihoods in both quality and quantity.
Livestock body condition is stressed in mixed and
critical in marginal mixed and pastoral livelihood
zones.
Milk production is below average in Pastoral and
marginal mixed livelihood zones. This is
attributed to poor forage and pasture conditions.
95% of Livestock have migrated towards the fall
back grazing fields of Tana Delta.
Access indicators
Terms of trade on a decreasing trend due to
increasing prices of maize and decreasing goat
prices due to poor body condtions.
Distances to water sources for households
currently above averages compared to normal.
Utilization indicators:
The number of under-fives at risk of malnutrition
currently on the increase compared to normal.
Copping strategy index for households is on an
increasing trend due to below average milk and
crop production. Indicating more households are
currently food insecure.