Kenya

Tana River County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for June 2021

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Situation Report
Source
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Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification

Drought Phase: ALERT-WORSENING

Biophysical Indicators

  • Biophysical indicators are showing negative trends away from expected seasonal ranges.

  • Below average amount of rainfall were received in the month of June 2021.

  • The June Vegetation Condition Index values for Tana North-Bura,Galole and Tana river subcounty are below normal and indicating moderate drought for the county.

  • The Water levels in most water pans were below normal at 3(10%-40%) in Pastoral and Marginal mixed livelihood zones.

Socio Economic Indicators (Impact Indicators)

Production indicators:

  • The forage condition is poor in pastoral and marginal mixed but fair in mixed farming livelihoods in both quality and quantity.

  • Livestock body condition is fair to good in mixed and fair to poor in marginal mixed and pastoral livelihood zones.

  • Milk production is below average in Pastoral and marginal mixed livelihood zones. This is attributed to poor forage and pasture conditions.

  • Early Livestock migrations were reported towards the traditional grazing fields.

Access indicators

  • Terms of trade still above normal range but on a decreasing trend due in decreasing prices of maize and increasing goat prices.

  • Distances to water sources for households currently above averages compared to normal.

Utilization indicators:

  • The number of under-fives at risk of malnutrition currently on the increase compared to normal.

  • Copping strategy index for households is on an increasing trend due to below average milk production. Indicating more households are currently food insecure.