Tana River County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for January 2020


Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification
Drought Phase:Normal-Stable

Biophysical Indicators

  • Biophysical indicators show positive fluctuations towards the expected seasonal ranges.
  • Below average rainfall was received in the month of January 2019.
  • The January Vegetation Condition Index values for Tana River County are above normal and clearly indicating very good vegetation conditions across all sub-counties.
  • The Water levels in water pans have improved to above normal at 5(65%-80%) in all livelihood zones. Water levels within pastoral livelihood zones are still below normal and most areas are still experiencing water stress.

Socio Economic Indicators (Impact Indicators) Production indicators:

  • The forage condition is good in both quality and quantity but locusts invasion will reduce the quantity and quality.
  • Livestock body condition has improved across all livelihood zones.
  • Milk production is above normal given the improved forage and pasture conditions.
  • No Livestock deaths were reported in all Livelihood zones.

Access indicators

  • Terms of trade are currently above normal range.
  • Distances to water sources for households currently are below normal ranges.

Utilization indicators:

  • The number of under-fives at risk of malnutrition stood at 12.25%, which is below normal at this time of the year.
  • Copping strategy index for households is within normal ranges but on a worsening trend.