Kenya

Tana River County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for February 2020

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Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification

Drought Phase:Normal-Stable

Biophysical Indicators

• Most Biophysical indicators show positive fluctuations towards the expected seasonal ranges.

• Light showers of rainfall were received in the month of February 2020.

• The January Vegetation Condition Index values for Tana River County are above normal and clearly indicating very good vegetation conditions across all sub-counties.

• The Water levels in water pans have improved to above normal at 4(65%-75%) in all livelihood zones. Water levels within pastoral livelihood zones are still below normal and most areas are still experiencing water stress.

Socio Economic Indicators (Impact Indicators)

Production indicators:

• The forage condition is good in both quality and quantity but the hatched locusts will reduce the quantity and quality..

• Livestock body condition has improved across all livelihood zones.

• Milk production is above normal given the improved forage and pasture conditions.

• No Livestock deaths were reported in all Livelihood zones.

Access indicators

• Terms of trade are currently above normal range.

• Distances to water sources for households currently are above normal ranges.
Utilization indicators:

• The number of under-fives at risk of malnutrition stood at 12.30%, which is above normal at this time of the year.

• Copping strategy index for households is within normal ranges but on an improving trend