National Drought Early Warning Bulletin (January 2017)
The short rains season has now ended, but it was far too brief and weak to have any meaningful impact on recovery. No county reported normal rainfall in December. Consequently, there is now a significant vegetation deficit across the ASALs.
In livestock areas, the water and forage situation is far from normal. This is undermining production and disrupting the regular pattern of seasonal migration. Terms of trade are falling, while the risk of conflict is increasing. In agricultural areas, widespread crop failure is predicted.
Without urgent and appropriate action, Kenya could see a repeat of the drought situation in 2011. The national and county governments and their partners should significantly scale up both livelihood support and relief activities that reinforce the coping strategies of affected populations.