National Drought Early Warning Bulletin (December 2017)



Most ASAL counties experienced some improvement in vegetation condition, water availability and access in November. In addition, production indicators in a number of counties have returned to normal.

Counties where crop and livestock production indicators have improved in November include: Embu,
Kwale, Laikipia, Meru, Marsabit, Narok, Samburu, Baringo, Lamu, Turkana, West Pokot and Nyeri. In these counties pasture and browse condition has generally improved, the water sources currently in use are the normal ones for this time of the year, distances to water points for both households and livestock are within or close to seasonal norms while milk production and livestock prices are improving.

However, a number of counties have not recovered fully from the effects of the previous drought and the prospects for the coming months are uncertain considering that the forecast for December 2017 indicates that most of the ASAL areas are likely to experience generally dry weather conditions during the month while the October-November-December (OND) 2017 seasonal rainfall is expected to cease during the second week of December.

Currently, four counties: Isiolo, Garissa, Kajiado and Tana River are classified in the alarm phase, while all the other counties are in normal or alert, with the trend generally being ether stable or improving.