Laikipia County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for November 2017


Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification

Biophysical Indicators

Rainfall: Onset-The October November December (OND) rains commenced on the third week of October. In November, the County experienced rainfall ranging from heavy to light showers. Generally, the rains were distributed fairly in terms of time and space except in few pockets in the Pastoral and MMF zones.
The received rainfall was approximately 143% of the expected amount for the month, which is slightly above the normal range.

Vegetation Condition: The Vegetation Condition Index (VCI) is above the normal range, indicating a good state of pasture and browse condition across most areas. From field observations, this is largely true but there still exists areas with moderate vegetation deficit i.e. some parts of Mukogodo East & West, Ngobit and Tigithi wards. The browse condition was largely good in all zones.

Socio Economic Indicators (Impact Indicators)

Production Indicators

– Livestock migration patterns in the Pastoral and some MMF zones were normal for the time of the year. Milk production per household was within the normal range at this time of the year. The body condition of animals within the normal range for the period.

Access indicators

  • The terms of trade are still below the normal range but are on an upward trend. The return distance from water sources to grazing areas is within the normal range.

Utilization indicators

– within the normal range.

The EW phase is Alert for the whole County.
A larger part of the county (approx. 95%) is within the normal range with the rest on an improving trend. If the OND rains persist and are distributed well in terms of time and space, the remaining areas are.