Kenya Food Security Outlook Update March 2014
Below normal March to May rains likely to slow recovery in pastoral areas
The acutely food insecure population increased from 0.85 million in August 2013 to 1.3 million in February 2014 according to the Kenya Food Security Steering Group’s (KFSSG) short rains assessment. Acutely food insecure households were concentrated in northeastern pastoral areas in Garissa, Isiolo, Mandera, Tana River, and Wajir Counties.
In northern areas, the March to May long rains are forecast to start two to three weeks late, be erratic in their distribution, and have normal to below normal total rainfall. This will slow recovery from Crisis (IPC Phase 3) to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) in Turkana and Marsabit.
While the Southeastern Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone is likely to receive normal to below normal March to May total rainfall, many households will remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2) due to rising prices and low stocks from the short rains. Food access will likely further deteriorate starting in June.