Food security to continue deteriorating in pastoral areas and the Southeast
The acutely food insecure population increased from 1.3 million in February to 1.5 million by August according to the results of the Kenya Food Security Steering Group’s (KFSSG) long rains assessment conducted in July. These households were concentrated in pastoral areas in Turkana, Marsabit, Mandera, Samburu, Isiolo, and Baringo.
Rangeland conditions did not seasonally recover in pastoral and agropastoral areas during the March to May long rains this year. Poor livestock health has reduced livestock prices and associated incomes, constraining food access. Many households remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2), though some households in parts of Turkana, Marsabit, Samburu, Mandera, Wajir, Baringo, and West Pokot have moved into Crisis (IPC Phase 3). More households are likely to move into Crisis (IPC Phase 3) between now and October.
In the Southeastern Marginal Mixed Farming livelihood zone, the below-average long rains resulted in crops not fully developing. Very little maize has been harvested in June/July. While legumes were harvested, this harvest has been below average. Food security is likely to remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2), but localized areas in Kitui North where there were almost no short rains crops in March are likely to move into Crisis (IPC Phase 3) by September.