- The recently released Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) analysis for Kenya shows that in the arid and semi-arid counties (ASALs), an estimated 2.8 million people (17% of the analysed population) will face high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC 3+) between April and June 2025. This is driven by the consequences of below-average rains in 2024 and early 2025; the climate outlook for March–May 2025 rainy season indicates a second consecutive failed season in most ASAL counties.
- This elevated food insecurity continues to drive acute malnutrition as access to basic food remains critically low in the ASALs. An estimate 800,000 children aged 6 to 59 months and 120,732 pregnant or lactating women will need nutrition treatment.
- Given the fragile state of livelihoods following the 2021–2022 drought, another poor season impacting crop and pasture productions, will lead to high food prices and livestock values decline. This will further weaken poor households purchasing power and coping mechanisms. An increase of population affected by food insecurity is consequently forecasted in the second half of the year. This situation is further exacerbated by the uncertainty of the critical funding available for food assistance in 2025.
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