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Through the generous support of the Directorate-General of the European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Operations, DTM Kenya conducted a Demographic and Displacement Calculator (DDC) household-level survey during December 2024 to quantify the number of displaced persons in Wajir County Kenya, their demographics, reasons for displacement and future movement intentions. Key findings from this report are presented below:
Key Findings
As of December 2024, approximately 166,800 individuals were displaced across Wajir County. This estimate is based on probability proportional to size with a 95 per cent confidence interval and 5 per cent margin of error, thus the true value is likely between 163,400 and 170,100 individuals.
The majority of respondents left their area of origin due to drought (47%), conflict and violence (20%) or economic reasons (19%), which included poor living conditions (11%). The findings reflect the substantial role of environmental and security crises as key drivers of recent displacements.
Most respondents were displaced during 2020 or 2023, despite data having been collected in late 2024. The distant year of displacement may indicate that respondents are mostly not moving to another location of displacement nor returning to their area of origin. Thus, it is worthwhile to invest in durable solutions and amenities in the locations of data collection and displacement.
Respondents were asked whether they would consider returning to their area of origin if things changed, and responses were nearly evenly split. Fifty-one per cent reported that they would not return to their area of origin and 48 per cent reported that they would return. However, among those who indicated that they would move, most had not arranged for travel or budgeted funds for relocation. Together, these findings may indicate that respondents’ perceptions of recovery in Wajir are fragmented.
The most reported pull factors were: improved living standards (30%), including job opportunities (16%), formal and informal employment (16%) and access to basic services and utilities (10%).