Attachments
This report and accompanying short risk profile are designed to help governments and their partners to reduce risk, strengthen resilience and minimise the impacts of disasters, including internal displacement.
Kenya has experienced a rise in disaster displacement since 2008. Between 2008 and 2024, the country recorded around 2.7 million disaster displacements, mostly triggered by floods. Over this period, movements have increased year after year. Climate change is expected to intensify these risks under both optimistic and pessimistic scenarios.
Using IDMC’s updated Global Displacement Risk Model, the report estimates the likelihood and scale of future displacement under different climate change scenarios. The short risk profile synthesises information on hazard intensity, population vulnerability and exposure to identify displacement hotspots, key drivers and potential displacement impacts in Kenya. Together, these provide a practical entry point for governments and partners to prioritise prevention and inform risk reduction.