As of November 2019, a total of 217,1081 mostly Somali refugees reside in Dadaab refugee complex in Kenya (Dagahaley, Hagadera, and Ifo camps). Over 80% of households (HHs) living in Dadaab have been in Dadaab for over eight years. In a protracted context with declining humanitarian funding, information on the future return intentions and movement patterns of the Dadaab refugee population is essential to inform aid prioritisation and the identification of vulnerable populations.Since May 2017, REACH has worked with the Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC) and humanitarian partners in Dadaab on developing tools and methodologies for data collection and analysis of needs in Dadaab refugee complex. In July 2019, REACH conducted an intentions survey2 in Dadaab refugee complex. Back then, 52% of HHs, reported not wanting to return to their country of origin, mainly due to fear of conflict and insecurity. Following up on the situation in July, this factsheet provides an overview of comprehensive movement intentions monitoring conducted in December 2019 across the three camps of Dadaab refugee complex.
A total of 1,125 HHs were interviewed from 25 November to 4 December 2019. HHs were randomly sampled at a camp level to fulfil a 95% confidence level and a 5% margin of error (MoE). Data was weighted during analysis to correct for under or over-representation of HHs interviewed from different camps. The confidence level is guaranteed for all questions that apply to the entire surveyed population. Findings relating to a subset of the population may have a wider margin of error and a lower level of confidence, in such instances, the MoE will be specified.