Baringo County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for November 2016


Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification Drought Phase: NORMAL

Biophysical Indicators

  • The biophysical indicators show no much unusual fluctuations from the expected seasonal range.

o Below normal rainfall of 60.00 mm received within the month of November, which is below average at this time of the year.

o The vegetation condition index VCI-3month for the County is below normal ranges in East Pokot and Mogotio. This is attributed to depressed rainfall received in better part of November.

o Water in the pans is below normal (35%-50%)

Socio Economic Indicators (Impact Indicators)

Production indicators:

  • The forage condition is dwindling in both quality and quantity.
    Most Livestock are currently accessing pasture and browse at their dry season grazing zones. They are expected back in the next 2-3 months.

  • Livestock body condition is fair in all livelihood zones.

  • Milk production is within normal ranges but projected to reduce in the next one month due to reducing quality of forage.

Access indicators

  • Terms of trade are still within normal range and favourable to pastoral livelihoods.

  • Distances to water sources for households are increasing drastically.

Utilization indicators:

  • Number of children at risk of malnutrition is currently below normal at 134 but projected to increase in Pastoral livelihood zones.

  • Occurrence of waterborne/water related diseases is above normal, water contamination reported in Tiaty and Baringo