Baringo County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for December 2016


Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification

Drought Phase: NORMAL

Biophysical Indicators

  • The biophysical indicators show unusual fluctuations from the expected seasonal range.

  • Below normal rainfall of 5.00 mm received within the month of December, which is below average at this time of the year.

  • The vegetation condition index VCI-3month for the County is below normal ranges in East Pokot, Eldamaravin, and Baringo south, Baringo North and Mogotio. This is attributed to depressed rainfall received in better part of December.

  • Water in the pans is below normal (25%-50%)

Socio Economic Indicators (Impact Indicators)

Production indicators:

  • The forage condition is dwindling in both quality and quantity.
    Most Livestock are currently accessing pasture and browse at their dry season grazing zones.

  • Livestock body condition is fair in all livelihood zones.

  • Milk production is below normal ranges but projected to reduce further in the next one month due to reducing quality of forage.

Access indicators

  • Terms of trade are still within normal range and favourable to pastoral livelihoods but on a reducing trend.

  • Distances to water sources for households are increasing drastically and currently above normal.

Utilization indicators:

  • Number of kids at risk of malnutrition is currently above normal at 15% but projected to increase in Pastoral livelihood zones.

  • Occurrence of waterborne/water related diseases is above normal, water contamination reported in Tiaty, Baringo North and Baringo South.