Iraq

Scenarios: Humanitarian Implications of Violence in Northern and Central Iraq

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Scenarios are a description of situations that could occur; a set of informed assumptions about a development that may require humanitarian action to support strategic planning, create awareness, provide early warning and promote preparedness activities for those working on the Iraq crisis. The document covers five main scenarios for Iraq, a sub-scenario as well as a wildcard scenario for the next six months. Note that these scenarios are in no way logically and mutually exclusive and indeed, all of them could also take place in sequence or even in parallel.