Attachments
Key Messages
Fluctuating climate situation across Indonesia: From April to June 2023, rainfall conditions varied geographically across Indonesia ranging from below- and above-normal conditions in comparison to the long-term average. Northern Sumatera, western and central Kalimantan, northern and eastern parts of Java, Bali, West Nusa Tenggara, southern Sulawesi and central parts of Papua received below-normal rains. On the contrary, southern parts of Sumatera, eastern Kalimantan, Central Sulawesi, Maluku, East Nusa Tenggara, northern and southern Papua received above-normal rainfall. The Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG) reported that approximately 60% of the regions in Indonesia entered dry season as of June 2023, and a meteorological drought was noticed in Java, Bali, and Nusa Tenggara.
Increased frequency of disasters impact: Indonesia's National Disaster Management Agency (BNPB) reported 1094 disasters between April and June 2023. The majority of which were caused by hydrometeorological hazards. Central and West Java were amongst the worst affected provinces.
Status of Food Security and Nutrition: According to the National Food Agency (NFA), more than half of all provinces in Indonesia were considered food secure in May 2023. Out of 34 provinces, 22 provinces were categorized as stable, while 12 other provinces (i.e., Central Java, DI. Yogyakarta, West Kalimantan, North Kalimantan, South Kalimantan, South Sulawesi, Central Sulawesi, West Sulawesi, West Papua, Papua, East Nusa Tenggara, West Nusa Tenggara) were being monitored for possible deterioration for its food security and nutrition situation.
Continued impact of El Niño anticipated: The National Research and Innovation Agency (BRIN) predicted that an El Niño event will likely have implications on rice planting and potentially increase the risk of drought in the second half of 2023. Additionally, an anticipated delay in the onset of the rainy season could potentially result in reduced rice production by late 2023 and early 2024. According to the BMKG and global meteorological and climatological agencies, the weak El Niño is transitioning to a moderate El Niño, which is expected to persist until end of 2023.