Attachments
REGIONAL SUMMARY:
For the twenty-seventh week of 2024, the ASEAN region experienced 26 disasters, including floods, landslides, storms, wind-related disasters, drought, earthquake, and volcanic activity. Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Thailand, and Viet Nam were reportedly affected by these disasters. According to the Badan Nasional Penanggulangan Bencana (BNPB) of Indonesia, flooding, landslides, storms, wind-related disasters, and drought were reported in Banten, Bengkulu, Gorontalo, West Java, East Java, Lampung, Maluku, West Nusa Tenggara, West Sulawesi, South Sulawesi, Central Sulawesi, Southeast Sulawesi, North Sulawesi, and Yogyakarta as well as M4.4 Earthquake in Batang, East Java. In Malaysia, Agensi Pengurusan Bencana Negara (NADMA) reported flooding in Sabah. In Myanmar, Department of Disaster Management (DDM) reported flooding in Kachin and Sagaing. Meanwhile, the Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation (DDPM) Thailand reported flooding in Nakhon Phanom. Lastly, the Viet Nam Disaster and Dyke Management Authority (VDDMA) documented storms, floods, landslides, and strong winds in Northern and Southern Regions.
HIGHLIGHT:
In Indonesia, recent prolonged heavy rainfall has led to flooding and landslides in Bone Bolango, Gorontalo. According to BNPB reports, five sub-districts (kecamatan) in Bone Bolango—Kabila Bone, Botupingge, Bone, Bonepantai, and Bulango Utara—have been affected by flooding. As of 7 July at 1330 HRS UTC+7, a total of 288 families (1K individuals) have been affected, with 11 families (24 individuals) displaced and approximately 288 houses affected. Additionally, BNPB reported deadly landslides in Kecamatan Suwawa, Tulabolo Village, caused by heavy rainfall and unstable soil conditions. The report indicates 6 fatalities, 26 people still missing or buried, and 4 injured. BPBD Bone Bolango is coordinating with TNI/Polri, BASARNAS, Tagana, and local government agencies for data collection and search-and-rescue operations.
In Northern Myanmar, the monsoon season has brought prolonged heavy rainfall and river overflow, affecting areas including Myitkyina, Waingmaw, Mogaung, Hpakant, Bhamo in Kachin, and Hkamti in Sagaing (DDM). According to reports from DDM as of 3 July, approximately 3.7K families (17.9K individuals) have been displaced to 53 evacuation centers and temporary shelters. As river water levels gradually recede, some evacuated communities are returning home. State / Region authorities, guided by national-level authorities, are actively providing humanitarian assistance and coordinating evacuation efforts.
HYDRO-METEO-CLIMATOLOGICAL:
For the past week, data from the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC) indicates a 7-day average rainfall ranging from medium to high across most of ASEAN Region including Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Malaysia, Myanmar, Singapore, Thailand, and Viet Nam. As of reporting, there is no active tropical cyclone advisories for the ASEAN Region (JTWC).
GEOPHYSICAL:
Four (4) significant earthquakes (M>5.0) were recorded by Indonesia’s Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) and the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS). Additionally, a magnitude 4.4 earthquake in Central Java, caused damage across Batang and Pekalongan in Indonesia. Mount Semeru (alert level III), Lewotobi Laki-laki (alert level III), Ibu (alert level III), and Marapi (alert level II) in Indonesia, and Mayon Volcano (alert level 1), Taal (alert level 1), Kanlaon (alert level 2), and Bulusan (alert level 1) in the Philippines reported recent volcanic activity according to Pusat Vulkanologi dan Mitigasi Bencana Geologi (PVMBG) and the PHIVOLCS.
OUTLOOK:
According to the ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC), for the coming week, drier conditions are predicted over most of northern Mainland Southeast Asia; and warmer than usual temperature is predicted over most of the Maritime Continent and northern Mainland Southeast Asia. For the regional assessment of extremes, there is a small increase in chance for very heavy rainfall conditions to occur over southern Philippines, Maluku Islands, and northern Papua; and a moderate increase in chance over northern Myanmar and northern Peninsula Malaysia, and a small increase in chance over the parts of western and northeastern Mainland Southeast Asia, southern Thailand, and northern Philippines for extreme hot conditions. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) state is now in neutral conditions. According to ASMC, for August – October 2024, models predict either ENSO neutral conditions to persist or La Niña conditions to develop.
Sources:
ASEAN Disaster Monitoring & Response System (DMRS); ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC); Joint Typhoon Warning Centre (JTWC);
Indonesia: BNPB, BMKG, PVMBG;
Malaysia: NADMA;
Myanmar: DDM, DMH;
Philippines: PHIVOLCS;
Thailand: DDPM;
Viet Nam: VDDMA;
Various news agencies.