Regional Summary of Week 45, and Outlook for Week 46
In Week 45, the reported disasters occurred mostly in the central region of ASEAN with a lot of flash floods and landslides occurrence throughout the week.
In Week 45, VONA for Mt Krakatau was revised to ORANGE on 10 Nov due to increase activities (BG-PVMBG). BG-PVMBG recorded 28 occurrences of ground movement and 2 landslide events over the past week. Tasikmalaya reported landslides following the heavy rainfall and had resulted in traffic disruption. There is no change in status of volcanoes in Philippines (PHIVOLCS).
ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC) The prevailing dry conditions over the northern ASEAN region are expected to continue in the first two weeks of November 2018. However, in week 2, drier conditions are likely to be confined mainly over the northern Philippines and the northern South China Sea areas. During the period, the southward shift of the monsoon rain-band is likely to bring an increase in shower activities to the equatorial ASEAN region.
Given the weather conditions, it will be prudent to look out for vector borne and water borne diseases following flash floods.
Tropical cyclone watch remains in the Bay of Bengal and typhoon watch remains for the Pacific Ocean during the Northeast Monsoon.