Regional Summary of Week 43, and Outlook for Week 44
- In Week 43, the reported disasters were just a continuation of the situation from the previous weeks. Currently during the transition of the
AHA Centre had ended the emergency response but is currently supporting BNPB on the recovery plans and miscellaneous operations. For details on the previous updates please visit: https://ahacentre.org/indonesia-central-sulawesi-m-7-4-earthquake-and-tsunamiupdates/.
Typhoon Yutu (Rosita) is expected to make landfall later in the early morning of 30 October
The areas which are likely to be affected were roughly similar to the Super-typhoon Mangkhut. PAGASA-DOST reported that the storm maintains it threat as it moves closer.
Hourly tracking update of the storm is available here.
Moderate to heavy rains directly associated with the Typhoon is expected over Northern and Central Luzon starting tonight (29 Oct) Residents in these areas, especially those living near river channels, in low-lying areas and mountainous areas, are advised to take appropriate actions against possible flooding and landslides, coordinate with the local disaster risk reduction and management offices.
Storm surge of up to 3 meters is possible over the coastal areas of Isabela, Cagayan, Aurora, Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte and La Union.
Impact estimates by Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) stand at 6.68 million potentially impacted by the winds, with 2.4 million potentially exposed to the wind impacts.
In Week 42, VONA was for Mt Dukono was revised on 19 Oct due to increase activities (BGPVMBG). BG-PVMBG recorded 9 occurrences of landslides over the past week with most happening in Java. Nine (9) earthquakes of varying intensity (between M2.6 and M5.4) were recorded on 28 October in Sarangani (Davao Occidental) but no damages were recorded thus far. There is no change in status of volcanoes in Philippines (PHIVOLCS).
ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC) reported on the onset of inter-monsoon conditions in mid-October with the southern ASEAN region, including Sumatra and Kalimantan experiencing increase in shower activities. More rainy weather can be expected over the region with a gradual transition to the Northeast Monsoon season in the coming weeks. Hotspot activities in the southern ASEAN region are expected to remain generally subdued. While isolated hotspots may still emerge during brief periods of dry weather, these hotspots are likely to be localised and short-lived. 10.AHA Centre will be monitoring the progress of Typhoon Yutu (Rosita) and will provide further updates when available.