Regional Summary of Week 46, and Outlook for Week 47 and 48
In Week 46, the reported disasters occurred mostly in Central region with tropical depressions forming near the equator near Vietnam and with another forming near the Davao
Tropical Depression 33 “Samuel” is slated to make landfall in Davao Oriental on 20 November afternoon. Moderate to heavy rains which may trigger flooding and landslides may prevail over Caraga Region, Davao Oriental and Compostela Valley beginning 19 November. (PAGASA)
In Week 46, VONA for Mt Dukono and Mt Krakatau was revised to ORANGE on 12 and 16 Nov respectively due to increase activities (BG-PVMBG). BG-PVMBG recorded 27 occurrences of ground movement and 2 landslide events over the past week. There is no change in status of volcanoes in Philippines (PHIVOLCS).
ASEAN Specialised Meteorological Centre (ASMC) latest report mentioned: Climatologically, the northern ASEAN region experiences drier weather in the second half of November compared to the southern ASEAN region, where there would typically be more shower activities during this period. For the coming fortnight, drier-thanaverage conditions are expected over parts of Malaysia, Sumatra and Kalimantan. Slightly warmer temperatures are expected for the Mekong sub-region except for Myanmar. Near normal temperatures are predicted elsewhere.
AHA Centre will be monitoring the progress of the various events occurring around the region and will provide further updates when available.