Ministry of Home Affairs Disaster Management Division (National Emergency Response Centre) Situation report as on 12th September 2020 at 1800 Hrs.

Situation Report
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Significant Weather Features:

  • A cyclonic circulation lies over west-central Bay of Bengal off Andhra Pradesh coast in lower & middle tropospheric levels. Under its influence, a Low Pressure Area is likely to form over Westcentral Bay of Bengal off Andhra Pradesh coast by tomorrow.

  • The monsoon trough lies south of its normal position. The eastern end of the monsoon trough very likely to shift further southward due to formation of a low pressure area over Westcentral Bay of Bengal off Andhra Pradesh coast around by tomorrow.

  • Due to the formation of Low Pressure Area, rainfall distribution and intensity very likely to increase over Odisha, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Telangana from 12th September onwards. Isolated heavy to very heavy falls are very likely over Odisha on 13th Sept, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam on 12th-13th, Telangana on 13th-14th and Gujarat state on 16th September.

  • A cyclonic circulation lies over Eastcentral Arabian Sea off Maharashtra coast in lower & middle tropospheric levels. The east-west shear zone runs roughly along 15°N across the peninsular India in mid-tropospheric levels and likely to persist during next 3-4 days.An off-shore trough at mean sea level runs from north Maharashtra coast to north Kerala coast.

  • Under the influence of above three weather systems:

i) Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls, thunderstorm & lightning very likely over west Peninsular India during next 4-5 days.

ii) Heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places very likely over Konkan & Goa and Kerala & Mahe on 12th-13th; South Interior Karnataka on 13th September, 2020 and Saurashtra & Kutch today.

  • Moderate thunderstorm with lightning very likely at isolated places over Bihar, South Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat State, South Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Vidarbha, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, Telangana, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema and Konkan & Goa during next 12 hours.