For Official use only
As on 14.07.2003 (Time 1900 Hours)
Government of India
Ministry of Home Affairs
National Disaster Management
(Based on the reports received from concerned Departments/State Govts.)
Reports from Monitoring Agencies
IMD’s forecast & report:
The year 2003 to be the below normal monsoon year. The monsoon advanced to Kerala and parts of Tamil-nadu on 8th June with a delay of about a week. As per the new 8-Parameter Probabilistic Model indicates that quantitatively, the rainfall over the country during the South-West- Monsoon-2003 season is likely to be 96 per cent (below normal) of its Long Period Average (LPA) on the estimated model error of + 5 per cent.
IMD on 7th July, 2003, issued second stage forecasts. The LPA for the Season (June-September) for the country as whole has been revised upwards to 98 + 4% of the LPA. Instead of a 39% probability of below normal rainfall indicated earlier, there is now a 43% probability of near normal monsoon for the country as a whole. Rainfall in the month of July for the country as a whole is likely to be 102 + 9% of LPA. The seasonal rainfall distribution over the three homogeneous regions of the country viz. NW India, NE India and Peninsula is expected to be uniform.
Seasonal Weather Report:
Cumulative seasonal rainfall (June 1 to July 02, 2003):
30 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions have received excess to normal rainfall. It has been deficient or scanty in 6 sub-divisions.
Rainfall (mm) (During the week ending on July 02, 2003)
Rainfall was excess to normal in 23 out of 36 meteorological sub-divisions. It was deficient/ scanty in 13 sub-divisions.
Central Water Commission
(As on 14.7.2003)
The Central Water Commission is monitoring flood situations at 161 flood-forecasting stations which includes 134 stage forecasting and 27 inflow forecasting stations located on 8 major interstate river systems covering 14 flood prone states, one Union Territory and the National capital.
Out of 134 stage-forecasting stations, the degree of flood situations at various sites.
Unprecedented flood situation: NIL
High Flood situation: 2
In Assam, River Brahmaputra at Guwahati in district Kamprup is flowing within 0.50 m of its previous highest flood level (HFL) with raising trend.
In Bihar, River Bagmati at Benibad in district Muzaffarpur is flowing within 0.50 m of its previous highest flood level (HFL) with raising trend.
Moderate Flood situation:
34 floods forecasting station in the country were reported in moderated flood situations at 0800 hrs on 13-7-2003. The state wise brief are as under:
- 16 Flood forecasting Stations In Assam,
- 15 Flood forecasting Stations In Bihar.
- 01 Flood forecasting Station In Uttar Pradesh
- 02 Flood forecasting Stations In West Bengal. These stations are flowing between danger level and within 0.50m of previous HFL or above warning level but below danger level.
The remaining stage forecasting stations are either below their respective danger levels or warning levels.
National Remote Sensing Agency
(As on 7.7.2003)
The National Remote Sensing Agency (NRSA) sends regular flood maps along with data obtained through Radar satellite / microwave satellite for assessing the intensity of flood situation in various States. As per observations based on the analysis of IRS-1C WiFS data of 3rd & 4th July 2003 District wise floods inundation area for Bihar were observed in West Champaran (15836), Gopalganj (4047), Muzaffarpur (17060 ha.), Sitamarhi (20277 ha.) Madhubani (18906 ha.), Darbhanga (39954 ha.), Samastipur (6331), Araria (7077), Katihar(5662), Kishanganj (15814), Supaul (1726 ha.), Purnia (3173), Khagariya (5552 ha.), Sheohar (3178) and Saharsa (5303 ha.).
On the basis of data of 4th July 2003, District wise floods inundation areas for Assam were observed in Cachar (21283 ha.), Darrang (6108 ha.) Dhemeji (21929 ha.), Dibrugarh (34827ha.), Golaghat(5722), Hailakandi(5199), Jorhat(10846ha.), Kamrup (6242 ha.), Karbi Anglong (807), Karimganj (13879 ha.), Lakhimpur (12113ha.), Marigaon (33110ha.), Nowgong (27549), Sibsagar (39991ha.), Sonitpur(10480 ha.) and Tinsukia (10405 ha.).
Reports from Central Departments:
Ministry of Home Affairs
The National Disaster Management Division of MHA at the Central level is now coordinating the relief measures in the event of natural calamities (other than drought or epidemic) and man-made disasters, excluding specific items of business allocated other Ministries/ Departments.
Annual Conference of State Relief Commissioners was held on 2nd July 2003 and review the status of preparedness in view of the South- West monsoon 2003.
States/ UTs requested to gear up relief machinery at States and District level to meet any eventuality arising out of monsoon behaviour. States have also been requested to send information about occurrence of floods etc. immediately to the Control Room of the Ministry of Home Affairs.
The NDM Control Room is monitoring the flood situation.
Reports from States/UTs.:
Details, as received from the State Governments, are as under:-
(As on 11-07- 2003):
15 districts have been affected in varying degrees due to floods/heavy rains and landslides since 15.6.2003. . State Government has instructed districts authorities to take necessary rescue & relief measures in the affected areas. Flood affected people evacuated to safe places. Roads communication disrupted. Petrol pump, play ground, water tanks & pipelines were also reported damaged due to floods and landslides. State Government will send a detailed report shortly.
(As on 12-07- 2003):
According to the report of the State Government 20 districts were affected by heavy rains and floods, these are Kamrup, Nalbari, Dhemaji, Karimganj, Hailkandi, Darrang, Dhubri, Golpara, Moigaon, Golaghat, Sonitpur, Jorhat, Sivasagar, Nagaon, Barpata, Karbi-Anglong, North lakhimpur,Dibrugarh, Bongaigaon and Tinsukia. Water levels of River Brahmaputra was flowing above danger level or water level was rising in the districts of Sibsagar, Morigaon ,Golaghat, Goalpara, Sonitpur and Nalbari . Roads communications at many places in the affected districts still remains disrupted. Districts authorities have shifted affected families to safer places like School/ Institutions buildings . Soil erosions are still continuing in several parts of the affected districts. Over all floods situation in the many districts of the State are remains unchanged. The worst affected districts of Dhemaji, Goalpara, Dhubri, Nalberi, Nagaon and Hailakandi have no let up in the flood situation since the last few days.
The State Government has distributed gratuitous relief viz; Rice 5,086 quintals, Dal 311 quintals, salt 150 quintals and number of water purifying packets among the affected people. 24 relief camps have been opened. Districts authorities have deployed numbers of boats for rescue and relief operations.
State Relief Commissioner was contacted on Telephone on 12th July,2003. He informed that water level in the rivers in Uppar Assam Region is falling. Whereas in Lower Assam Region, the water level of rivers are showing rising trend. There were less rains in catchments areas. (Detailed latest situation report awaited)
(As on 12-07- 2003):
Six districts viz. Darbhanga ,Madhubani, Muzaffarpur, Sitamarhi, Saharsa and Sheohar have been affected in varying degrees due to flood/ heavy rains. State Government has issued instructions to Collectors of all flood prone districts for taking necessary measures to provide the safety and security of the affected people. Funds have been allotted to the district authorities under various sub-heads of CRF for undertaking rescue and relief measures in the affected areas including making ex-gratia payment to the kin of deceased. 133 country boats have been deployed for rescue and relief operations. Meetings with Army officers and GM East-Central Railways have been held and emergency plans have been formulated to meet the situation.
(As on 14-07- 2003):
As per information received from the State Government, 14 districts have been affected due to heavy rains/ floods. 461 families affected. 2 persons missing and 36 persons reported injured. 184 houses fully and 1336 houses partially damaged. The State Government has evacuated 222 families and opened 13 relief camps, for affected people.
(As on 30-06- 2003):
As per information received from the State Government 16 districts have been affected due to heavy rains/ floods. The State Government is providing relief to the affected population.
( As on 11.0703)
Heavy rains on 7th to 9th July, 2003 has caused damaged to roads within Ranikor PWD Sub-Division. Further, the State Government will send report soon.
There were media reports about damage caused due to heavy rains in some parts of the State. Secretary, Relief, Government of Rajasthan was contacted on telephone on 12.07.03. He informed that they have not received any report so far from the district authorities.
(As on 12-07- 2003):
As per the State Government during the early hours of the morning today (7th- 8th night) a major landslide was occurred at Sewak Road, which connects Sikkim to Darjeeling. According to the preliminary report, 17 persons have lost lives, 8 persons missing and 3 persons reported injured. Communication on NH 55 and NH 31 A were disrupted. NH 55 near Sukna on Panchnadi has been repaired and traffic system is restored for plying from Siliguri to Gangtok, Darjeeling & Kalimpong. The district authority (in association with Border Road Organization) is making efforts for early restoration of traffic.
Relief teams with essential commodities etc. have been sent to site. 8 Gruel Kitchens are in operation for 1052 affected persons at Gayabari. 3 Relief Shelters with 75 families are in operation in Siliguri.
In Cooch Behar 2 camps have been opened for 171 families. Boats and rescue teams have been kept in readiness in all the vulnerable areas.
In Uttar Dinajpur, river Dauk at Chopra is flowing above warning level and Mahanada close to the wrniing level. In Dakshin Dinajpur, Tangan is close to warning level. In Malda, the rivers are also raising and red alert flashed for unprotected areas of Fulhar in Harishchanrapur, Ratua and Khorba though the level are reported below danger level.
As per the information obtained on telephone on 12th July 2003 from Secretary, Relief, the situation has improved considerably. Due to water from Bihar side, rivers in Malda and South Dinajpur districts are flowing above danger level, which is causing concern. About 400-500 families have been evacuated to safer places. Except NH 55, all-important roads have been restored. The State Government will send detail report soon.
The State Government is still in the process of assessing the damage. The State Government has not made any request for any assistance from this Ministry so far.
State-wise information on damage is at Annexure.
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Damage due to Cyclone, Heavy Rains & Flood during - South- West Monsoon, 2003
(Provisional, As on 14-07-2003)
Note: F - Flood, FF- Flash Flood, L - Landslide, HR - Heavy Rains, C - Cyclone, NR - Not Reported, Neg.- Negligible