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Activation Overview
The Honduran Red Cross has activated its Early Action Plan for Floods associated with Tropical Storms.
On 13 November, monitoring began for a disturbance that was located about 600 km east of Cabo de Gracias a Dios. In the afternoon, it became Tropical Depression 19. The National Society team met with the National Center for Atmospheric, Oceanographic and Seismic Studies (CENAOS) to monitor this phenomenon, where it was concluded that it would affect the Atlantic area and Gracias a Dios. The Secretariat of State for Risk Management and National Contingencies (COPECO) issued a yellow alert for 72 hours for the departments of Gracias a Dios, Islas de la Bahía, Atlántida and Colon; and a green alert for Cortes, Olancho and Yoro.
The first trigger was reached with the forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NOAA), where the phenomenon had a 50-60% probability that the Tropical Depression will become Tropical Storm “Sara”. On 14 November at 11:50 AM, it became a Tropical Storm with maximum sustained winds of 35 knots. The second trigger was reached with the GLoFAS forecast, which presents return periods of more than 10 years, exceeding 50% probability in the areas of Aguan, Patuca, and Ulua.
COPECO raised the red alert for 72 hours for the departments of Islas de la Bahia, Atlantida, Colon and Gracias a Dios; yellow alert for Yoro, Olancho and Cortes; and green alert for the department of Santa Barbara.
According to the intervention map, the municipalities with the greatest possibility of being affected are Tocoa, La Lima, San Manuel, Pimienta and Saba; where the municipality of Tocoa will be prioritized to carry out early actions. The execution period for early actions is 5 days, with a maximum of one month for the follow-up of these actions, such as post-distribution surveys and the lessons learned workshop.