Latin America & The Caribbean Weekly Situation Update as of 10 October 2025

KEY FIGURES

• 17 named storms so far in the Eastern Pacific, with Mexico facing consecutive impacts
• 14K people displaced since 15 September in Artibonite, Haiti
• 3K people displaced or confined in Chocó, Colombia due to the presence of a NSAG

ATLANTIC: HURRICANE SEASON

On 7 October, Tropical Storm Jerry formed near the northern Leeward Islands as the 10th named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, prompting tropical storm watches and advisories for several islands, including Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, St. Kitts and Nevis, Guadeloupe and surrounding territories. While the storm remains disorganized and is now no longer predicted to reach hurricane strength, it continues to bring heavy rainfall, strong winds and potential flooding to the area. Warnings remain in effect for St. Barthelemy, St. Martin and Sint Maarten as the system moves away. Meanwhile, Subtropical Storm Karen formed over the North Atlantic on 9 October, posing no threat to the Caribbean islands as it tracks northeastward and is expected to dissipate by 11 October. No other disturbances are currently being monitored in the Atlantic basin.

PACIFIC: HURRICANE SEASON

The Eastern Pacific continues its active season, with three consecutive systems affecting Mexico’s Pacific coast in the past week. On 9 October, Tropical Storm Raymond formed as the seasons 17th named storm, prompting tropical storm warnings from Zihuatanejo to Cabo Corrientes. Raymond is expected to move parallel to the southwestern coast before turning northwest, bringing heavy rainfall and potential flash flooding to the area before weakening by 12 October. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Priscilla continues moving northward off the western coast of Baja California Sur and is expected to dissipate by 11 October. Priscilla reached Category 2 hurricane strength between 6 and 7 October before beginning to weaken on 8 October, causing flash flooding, landslides, and localized damage in coastal municipalities of southern Baja California, Jalisco and Nayarit. Tropical Storm Octave officially dissipated on 9 October about 200 miles off the coast of Baja California Sur.

HAITI: VIOLENCE & DISPLACEMENT

Insecurity continues to spread north of the capital in Haiti, with persistent waves of violence forcing displacement across the Artibonite department. From 1-2 October, armed attacks in the municipalities of Verrettes and Petite Rivière de l’Artibonite in Artibonite displaced at least 4,508 people (1,133 households), mainly from Verrettes (88 per cent). Most are sheltering with host families, while approximately 6 per cent have sought refuge across five displacement sites - 3 pre-existing and 2 newly established. This incident marks the third major wave of armed violence in Artibonite within a two-week period. Collectively, these attacks have resulted in the displacement of approximately 14,000 people, highlighting the rapid and growing deterioration of the department’s security situation.

COLOMBIA: CONFINEMENT

Colombia’s Pacific department of Chocó is facing growing insecurity. The entry of a new Non-State Armed Group (NSAG) and the distribution of their pamphlets in El Carmen de Atrato - a municipality that had not reported a humanitarian emergency for over four years - have displaced or confined nearly 3,000 indigenous people from 24 communities. While 667 people were forcibly displaced to Medellín in the neighbouring Antioquia department, approximately 2,272 people remain confined. The NSAG’s presence increases the possibility of armed clashes and protection risks for the civilian population, which could trigger further humanitarian needs in the area. Between January and September, 40,200 people - mainly from ethnic communities - have faced displacement, confinement, and mobility restrictions in Chocó, representing over 11 per cent of those affected by such emergencies nationwide.