Latin America and Caribbean Seasonal Monitor, November 2012
Below-average second-season production in Haiti, near average in Central America
Rainfall in Haiti has been poorly distributed in time and space for both the first and second rainy seasons in 2012. Haiti is likely to face a second, consecutive belowaverage harvest due to early season dryness and late season flooding for the 2012 second season.
Though below-average production is also expected in Olancho, Honduras, a surplus-producing area, Postrera season harvests in Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, and Honduras are still likely to be near average nationally.
Medium-term forecasts suggest a likelihood of a normal start of season for the April-July Primera season throughout Central America and the Caribbean.