Latin America and Caribbean Seasonal Monitor, November 2012

Below-average second-season production in Haiti, near average in Central America

KEY MESSAGES

• Rainfall in Haiti has been poorly distributed in time and space for both the first and second rainy seasons in 2012. Haiti is likely to face a second, consecutive belowaverage harvest due to early season dryness and late season flooding for the 2012 second season.

• Though below-average production is also expected in Olancho, Honduras, a surplus-producing area, Postrera season harvests in Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, and Honduras are still likely to be near average nationally.

• Medium-term forecasts suggest a likelihood of a normal start of season for the April-July Primera season throughout Central America and the Caribbean.